Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.111405 0.171230 0.241439 0.327228 0.426942 0.537291 0.666902
2025-11-16 0.027151 0.084231 0.171139 0.295126 0.455264 0.646246 0.883720
2025-11-23 0.004642 0.048266 0.138195 0.283544 0.484784 0.735403 1.056568
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.030821 0.123841 0.291111 0.534791 0.847234 1.255390
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016618 0.105850 0.287257 0.565264 0.931491 1.418171
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006063 0.084600 0.272168 0.576223 0.988108 1.544848
2025-12-21 NaN 0.004211 0.087060 0.297709 0.645799 1.121639 1.768301
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002904 0.089981 0.323706 0.715992 1.256128 1.993278
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001251 0.087118 0.337634 0.767573 1.365542 2.186392
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001133 0.095052 0.373274 0.852616 1.520445 2.438101
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000666 0.098348 0.399316 0.922903 1.655502 2.664622
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000016 0.090592 0.401286 0.955312 1.738803 2.824554
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.068160 0.368675 0.933939 1.751051 2.897235
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.047321 0.332288 0.903367 1.749154 2.951105
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.037749 0.320481 0.911337 1.799701 3.072143
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.035273 0.328414 0.952901 1.898104 3.256614
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.029576 0.324340 0.972869 1.965183 3.399315
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.021515 0.308226 0.970113 1.998658 3.496704
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.024721 0.335475 1.046213 2.147435 3.749003
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.028066 0.363137 1.123105 2.297475 4.003164
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.028124 0.377931 1.176626 2.413462 4.211776
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.034098 0.415715 1.272053 2.590810 4.502922
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.037462 0.443262 1.348895 2.741088 4.757882